«Janubiy Osiyo o'zini zararli ta'sirga ega mukammal bo'ronda topadi. Turizm quridi, ta'minot zanjirlari buzildi, kiyim-kechaklarga talab pasayib ketdi va iste'molchilar va investorlarning fikri yomonlashdi », deyiladi xabarda.
O'tgan yillardagi bank "umidsizlantiruvchi" o'sish sur'atlari deb ataganidan so'ng, 1 aprelda boshlangan moliya yilida mamlakat yalpi ichki mahsulotining o'sishi 1.5 dan 2.8 foizgacha bo'lishi kutilmoqda. Prognoz Hindistonni COVID-19 inqirozining eng engil ta'siriga duchor bo'lishini kutayotgan bo'lsa-da, salbiy ta'sir hali ham 2019 yil oxirida kuzatilgan tiklanish belgilarini engib o'tishga tayyor.
Janubiy Osiyoning Nepal, Butan va Bangladesh singari boshqa mamlakatlari ham iqtisodiy o'sishning keskin pasayishiga duch kelishi kutilmoqda. Maldiv orollari eng ko'p zarar ko'rishi kutilmoqda, bu yil uning iqtisodiyoti 13 foizgacha qisqarishi mumkin. Pandemiya sababli Pokiston, Afg'oniston va Shri-Lanka ham retsessiyaga tushishi mumkin. Biroq, eng yomon vaziyatda butun mintaqa YaIMning qisqarishini boshdan kechirishi mumkin.
Inqiroz, ehtimol, Janubiy Osiyodagi tengsizlikni kuchaytirishi mumkin, chunki eng qashshoqlarning ko'pchiligi oziq-ovqat xavfsizligi xavfi yuqori. Hozirgacha keng tarqalgan oziq-ovqat tanqisligi alomatlari bo'lmasa-da, bank uzoq muddatli qulflash vaziyatni yomonlashtirishi mumkinligidan ogohlantiradi.
USHBU MAQOLADAN NIMA OLISH KERAK:
- The rapid spread of the virus and its aftermath for the global economy are so unprecedented that it's hard to make an accurate projection, the World Bank said in its South Asia Economic Focus report, which presented a range forecast, rather than a point forecast, for the first time.
- While the forecast expects India to face the mildest impact of the COVID-19 crisis, the negative effect is still set to overtake the signs of a rebound that were seen at the end of 2019.
- After what the bank calls“disappointing” growth rates in previous years, in the fiscal year that started on April 1, the country's GDP growth is projected to stand between 1.